Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hall shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Hall 48.0% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 68.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 88.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 85.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Thornton
Hall
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Thornton
Hall
Last 8: Thornton 6-2 Hall
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Hall
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
1
Thornton
Hall
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Hall
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Hall
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
46.2% (93)
+12.5%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
0.0% (3)
+58.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
100.0% (2)
-48.8%
On power play, Thornton has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hall shoots left. Thornton is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Thornton shoots left. Hall is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Thornton
Hall
Home
60.1% (496)
42.9% (63)
Away
55.8% (459)
51.4% (35)
By Period
Thornton
Hall
P1
60.4%
52.0%
P2
54.7%
65.6%
P3
58.2%
31.3%
OT
61.5%
11.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Hall
46.0%▼
47.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Taylor Hall |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Taylor Hall |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |