Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Selanne on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Selanne shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Selanne 47.4% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Selanne 86.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 90.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 70.1%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Thornton
Selanne
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Thornton
Selanne
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Selanne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Selanne
0
7
Thornton
Selanne
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
0
Thornton
Selanne
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Selanne
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Selanne
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
46.7% (480)
+6.8%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
48.5% (305)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
0.0% (2)
+56.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Selanne shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Selanne is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Thornton
Selanne
Home
55.8% (4,271)
47.8% (414)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
46.3% (378)
By Period
Thornton
Selanne
P1
55.0%
45.6%
P2
53.3%
45.9%
P3
54.4%
50.6%
OT
56.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Selanne
36.0%▼
46.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |