Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Selanne on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Selanne shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.4% vs Selanne 50.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Selanne 59.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 84.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 63.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Thornton
Selanne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Thornton
Selanne
Last 9: Thornton 5-4 Selanne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Selanne
0
4
Thornton
Selanne
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Selanne
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Selanne
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Selanne
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (540)
42.6% (115)
+14.4%
Power Play
64.0% (111)
67.9% (53)
-3.9%
On even strength, Thornton has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Selanne shoots right. Thornton is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Thornton shoots left. Selanne is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Thornton
Selanne
Home
56.7% (353)
50.6% (83)
Away
60.3% (348)
50.6% (85)
By Period
Thornton
Selanne
P1
59.3%
44.3%
P2
60.1%
55.6%
P3
57.1%
54.8%
OT
47.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Selanne
36.0%▼
46.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |