Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Teravainen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Teravainen 47.4% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 57.6%
Defensive zone
Teravainen 55.4%
Neutral zone
Teravainen 55.2%
Result
Teuvo Teravainen favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Thornton
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Thornton
Teravainen
Last 5: Thornton 2-3 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Thornton
Teravainen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Teravainen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Teravainen
1
2
Thornton
Teravainen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
47.2% (392)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
38.1% (21)
+16.4%
On power play, Thornton has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Thornton shoots left. Teravainen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Thornton
Teravainen
Home
54.9% (355)
51.5% (231)
Away
47.1% (382)
40.7% (182)
By Period
Thornton
Teravainen
P1
46.0%
49.6%
P2
52.5%
48.7%
P3
55.6%
43.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |