Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Kopecky 47.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 65.5%
Defensive zone
Thornton 81.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 80.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Thornton
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thornton
Kopecky
Last 6: Thornton 4-2 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
0
1
Thornton
Kopecky
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Kopecky
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Kopecky
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
47.3% (438)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
42.3% (142)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
51.3% (80)
+5.4%
On power play, Thornton has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Kopecky is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kopecky
Home
55.8% (4,271)
51.9% (364)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
40.7% (305)
By Period
Thornton
Kopecky
P1
55.0%
47.4%
P2
53.3%
42.5%
P3
54.4%
49.3%
OT
56.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |