Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Kopecky 44.3% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 69.4%
Defensive zone
Thornton 87.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 77.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Thornton
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Thornton
Kopecky
Last 6: Thornton 4-2 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
0
1
Thornton
Kopecky
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Kopecky
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Kopecky
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
44.0% (225)
+8.8%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
38.0% (50)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
25.0% (8)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Thornton shoots left. Kopecky is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Thornton
Kopecky
Home
54.9% (597)
46.7% (150)
Away
54.0% (643)
37.3% (134)
By Period
Thornton
Kopecky
P1
53.0%
41.1%
P2
51.2%
38.2%
P3
57.8%
46.7%
OT
72.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Tomas Kopecky |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |