Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Zajac 54.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 51.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 51.9%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.6%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Thornton
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Thornton
Zajac
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
0
Thornton
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Thornton
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
55.7% (1,020)
-0.6%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
52.7% (201)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
50.3% (173)
+5.8%
On power play, Thornton has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Thornton shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Thornton
Zajac
Home
60.4% (528)
54.9% (685)
Away
52.2% (571)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Thornton
Zajac
P1
58.1%
54.6%
P2
55.3%
55.5%
P3
55.0%
54.2%
OT
55.2%
48.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |