Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Lewis 41.4% (+15.2%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 59.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 53.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Thornton
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
39.6% (351)
+13.2%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
60.0% (5)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
33.3% (27)
+28.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Thornton shoots left. Lewis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Thornton
Lewis
Home
54.9% (597)
38.2% (178)
Away
54.0% (643)
40.1% (207)
By Period
Thornton
Lewis
P1
53.0%
39.9%
P2
51.2%
40.1%
P3
57.8%
36.9%
OT
72.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
39.2%