Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.2%). Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Trocheck 50.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 50.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 73.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 55.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Thornton
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Thornton
Trocheck
Last 10: Thornton 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
0
Thornton
Trocheck
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Thornton
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
50.3% (1,280)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
52.7% (201)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
46.4% (183)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Thornton is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Thornton shoots left. Trocheck is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,044).
Home / Away
Thornton
Trocheck
Home
54.9% (355)
52.4% (828)
Away
47.1% (382)
48.0% (836)
By Period
Thornton
Trocheck
P1
46.0%
52.6%
P2
52.5%
50.9%
P3
55.6%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
34.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |