Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 69.1%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 75.1%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 72.3%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Thornton
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Thornton
Sobotka
Last 8: Thornton 5-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thornton
Sobotka
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
62.0% (637)
-6.9%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
62.6% (91)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
60.0% (85)
-3.9%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Sobotka is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Thornton
Sobotka
Home
60.4% (528)
65.8% (371)
Away
52.2% (571)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Thornton
Sobotka
P1
58.1%
63.0%
P2
55.3%
61.4%
P3
55.0%
60.7%
OT
55.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |