Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.4%). Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 51.7% vs Nylander 51.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 58.9%
Defensive zone
Nylander 56.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Thornton
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thornton
Nylander
Last 5: Thornton 3-2 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Thornton
Nylander
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Nylander
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Nylander
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (372)
51.7% (574)
+1.0%
Power Play
47.6% (63)
47.9% (73)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
66.7% (3)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Thornton is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Thornton shoots left. Nylander is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Thornton
Nylander
Home
51.2% (250)
51.8% (336)
Away
53.2% (190)
51.0% (314)
By Period
Thornton
Nylander
P1
56.1%
53.6%
P2
52.8%
44.4%
P3
47.4%
55.4%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | William Nylander |