Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaunce wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 53.2% vs Veleno 43.5% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 53.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 55.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 58.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Gaunce
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaunce
Veleno
Last 7: Gaunce 3-4 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
1
Gaunce
Veleno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Gaunce
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Gaunce
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
42.9% (617)
+13.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
37.5% (16)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
33.3% (18)
+46.7%
On power play, Gaunce has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Gaunce is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Gaunce shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Veleno
Home
59.0% (39)
40.7% (327)
Away
58.8% (17)
44.4% (324)
By Period
Gaunce
Veleno
P1
50.0%
43.2%
P2
53.3%
42.0%
P3
68.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
68.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |