Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 52.4% vs Veleno 48.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 55.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 65.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 60.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Spezza
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Spezza
Veleno
Last 7: Spezza 2-5 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Spezza
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Spezza
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (451)
49.1% (438)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.3% (92)
37.5% (16)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (34)
16.7% (6)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Spezza shoots right. Veleno is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Spezza
Veleno
Home
55.0% (282)
44.0% (184)
Away
50.8% (295)
51.1% (276)
By Period
Spezza
Veleno
P1
53.1%
50.8%
P2
53.2%
50.4%
P3
52.3%
43.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |