Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.3% vs Rooney 46.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 57.5%
Defensive zone
Rooney 64.8%
Neutral zone
Rooney 57.4%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Veleno
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Veleno
Rooney
Last 5: Veleno 2-3 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
2
Veleno
Rooney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Rooney
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,324)
46.7% (2,042)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
41.7% (48)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
43.4% (267)
-6.7%
On power play, Veleno has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,625).
Veleno shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Home / Away
Veleno
Rooney
Home
45.4% (1,143)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
48.6% (1,369)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Veleno
Rooney
P1
48.1%
48.1%
P2
47.8%
47.1%
P3
45.8%
43.6%
OT
35.7%
12.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |