Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Barron 47.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 90.2%
Defensive zone
Veleno 51.4%
Neutral zone
Veleno 75.2%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Veleno
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Veleno
Barron
Last 6: Veleno 5-1 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
1
Veleno
Barron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
48.8% (371)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
42.0% (174)
-4.1%
On even strength, Veleno has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Veleno shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Veleno
Barron
Home
49.6% (123)
44.9% (283)
Away
52.8% (178)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Veleno
Barron
P1
54.8%
44.8%
P2
49.2%
50.7%
P3
52.6%
43.6%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |