Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 51.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 72.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 62.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Veleno
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Veleno
Suzuki
Last 10: Veleno 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Veleno
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Veleno
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Veleno
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
49.4% (6,327)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
50.7% (1,338)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
43.6% (456)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Veleno shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Veleno
Suzuki
Home
45.3% (1,136)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Veleno
Suzuki
P1
48.0%
48.8%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
45.9%
50.2%
OT
35.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |