Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — MacInnis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs MacInnis 47.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 60.9%
Defensive zone
Veleno 61.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 66.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Veleno
MacInnis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Veleno
MacInnis
Last 5: Veleno 5-0 MacInnis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
MacInnis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
MacInnis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
0
Veleno
MacInnis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
MacInnis
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
44.2% (86)
+3.2%
On even strength, Veleno has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacInnis shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. MacInnis is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Veleno
MacInnis
Home
45.3% (1,136)
39.2% (51)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
51.4% (35)
By Period
Veleno
MacInnis
P1
48.0%
37.1%
P2
47.7%
44.8%
P3
45.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
MacInnis
46.0%▲
44.2%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |