Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 44.1% vs Vitale 59.5% (-19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 64.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 90.1%
Neutral zone
Vitale 78.7%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 82.6%
17.4%
82.6%
Schenn
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Schenn
Vitale
Last 5: Schenn 4-1 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Vitale
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Vitale
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Vitale
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (635)
61.7% (274)
-19.0%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
75.0% (4)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
66.7% (42)
-13.8%
On power play, Vitale has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Schenn is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Schenn shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Schenn
Vitale
Home
45.4% (324)
69.7% (152)
Away
41.3% (361)
56.0% (168)
By Period
Schenn
Vitale
P1
40.8%
55.9%
P2
47.3%
65.2%
P3
40.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
68.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.2%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |