Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Winchester wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 52.5% vs Vitale 55.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winchester 52.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 51.4%
Neutral zone
Winchester 60.8%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Winchester
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Winchester
Vitale
Last 6: Winchester 2-4 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Winchester
Vitale
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
3
Winchester
Vitale
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (177)
55.9% (646)
+0.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
100.0% (12)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (54)
47.5% (61)
-1.2%
On power play, Vitale has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Winchester is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Winchester shoots right. Vitale is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Winchester
Vitale
Home
57.1% (98)
56.9% (383)
Away
51.1% (137)
54.4% (340)
By Period
Winchester
Vitale
P1
44.6%
51.5%
P2
59.3%
58.2%
P3
55.9%
56.8%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
53.6%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |