Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Vitale wins 63.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 59.5% vs Tavares 49.1% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 89.2%
Neutral zone
Vitale 78.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Vitale
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Vitale
Tavares
Last 6: Vitale 4-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
1
Vitale
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Vitale
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
61.7% (274)
48.7% (871)
+13.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
49.8% (243)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (42)
60.0% (15)
+6.7%
On power play, Vitale has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Vitale shoots right. Tavares is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Vitale
Tavares
Home
69.7% (152)
50.0% (542)
Away
56.0% (168)
48.2% (587)
By Period
Vitale
Tavares
P1
55.9%
52.2%
P2
65.2%
50.0%
P3
66.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
68.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |