Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vitale wins 63.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 59.5% vs Toews 56.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 79.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 67.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Vitale
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Vitale
Toews
Last 5: Vitale 1-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Vitale
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
61.7% (274)
55.9% (1,143)
+5.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
65.1% (304)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (42)
48.5% (97)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Vitale shoots right. Toews is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Vitale
Toews
Home
69.7% (152)
61.7% (810)
Away
56.0% (168)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Vitale
Toews
P1
55.9%
56.0%
P2
65.2%
56.9%
P3
66.0%
59.3%
Final 5 min
68.4%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |