Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aucoin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Aucoin 48.7% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Vitale 54.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 81.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 67.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Vitale
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Vitale
Aucoin
Last 10: Vitale 6-4 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Aucoin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Aucoin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
3
4
Vitale
Aucoin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
47.8% (448)
+8.1%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
54.8% (31)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
75.0% (4)
-27.9%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Aucoin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Vitale
Aucoin
Home
56.1% (1,050)
52.6% (215)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Vitale
Aucoin
P1
52.9%
45.8%
P2
53.8%
49.2%
P3
57.5%
51.9%
OT
72.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |