Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bouma shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Bouma 39.5% (+19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 60.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 88.5%
Neutral zone
Vitale 73.7%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Vitale
Bouma
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vitale
Bouma
Last 5: Vitale 3-2 Bouma
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bouma
0
1
Vitale
Bouma
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Bouma
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Bouma
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bouma
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
38.0% (205)
+17.9%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
25.0% (4)
+51.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
18.2% (33)
+28.9%
On power play, Vitale has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bouma shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Bouma is 29.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bouma
Home
56.1% (1,050)
37.4% (139)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
32.0% (103)
By Period
Vitale
Bouma
P1
52.9%
39.8%
P2
53.8%
32.2%
P3
57.5%
32.7%
OT
72.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |