Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Bouma 45.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bouma 62.9%
Defensive zone
Vitale 81.3%
Neutral zone
Vitale 62.8%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Vitale
Bouma
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vitale
Bouma
Last 5: Vitale 3-2 Bouma
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bouma
0
1
Vitale
Bouma
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Bouma
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Bouma
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bouma
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
44.6% (65)
+6.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
0.0% (8)
+41.3%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bouma shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Bouma is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bouma
Home
46.9% (371)
42.9% (49)
Away
49.7% (362)
32.0% (25)
By Period
Vitale
Bouma
P1
52.9%
40.5%
P2
44.2%
42.1%
P3
47.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |