Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Couture 48.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 65.1%
Defensive zone
Vitale 51.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 55.5%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Vitale
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Vitale
Couture
Last 6: Vitale 2-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
4
Vitale
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
48.8% (8,919)
+7.1%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
54.6% (624)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
39.8% (992)
+7.3%
On power play, Vitale has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Vitale
Couture
Home
56.1% (1,050)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Vitale
Couture
P1
52.9%
47.9%
P2
53.8%
47.9%
P3
57.5%
49.2%
OT
72.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 22, 2014 | OT | 01:05 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Logan Couture |