Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Vitale 68.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.6%
Neutral zone
Vitale 51.0%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Vitale
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
57.0% (1,613)
-1.1%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
80.0% (25)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
53.6% (274)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Vitale shoots right. Kastelic is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Vitale
Kastelic
Home
56.1% (1,050)
58.9% (895)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Vitale
Kastelic
P1
52.9%
58.5%
P2
53.8%
56.9%
P3
57.5%
55.3%
OT
72.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%