Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Ellis 49.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ellis 55.3%
Defensive zone
Vitale 68.4%
Neutral zone
Ellis 60.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Vitale
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vitale
Ellis
Last 5: Vitale 3-2 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Ellis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Ellis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
0
1
Vitale
Ellis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
50.6% (170)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
40.0% (35)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Ellis is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Vitale
Ellis
Home
46.9% (371)
47.8% (113)
Away
49.7% (362)
50.0% (92)
By Period
Vitale
Ellis
P1
52.9%
61.3%
P2
44.2%
45.9%
P3
47.9%
35.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |