Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Hendricks 53.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 54.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 53.5%
Neutral zone
Vitale 54.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Vitale
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Vitale
Hendricks
Last 8: Vitale 4-4 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Hendricks
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
2
Vitale
Hendricks
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
55.0% (1,616)
+0.9%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
52.6% (38)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
48.4% (446)
-1.3%
On power play, Vitale has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Vitale
Hendricks
Home
56.1% (1,050)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Vitale
Hendricks
P1
52.9%
53.2%
P2
53.8%
53.3%
P3
57.5%
53.6%
OT
72.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |