Joe Vitale vs Mikhail Grigorenko
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Grigorenko 46.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Grigorenko leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 70.3%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 55.7%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 59.7%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Vitale
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Vitale
Grigorenko
Last 10: Vitale 4-6 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
3
4
Vitale
Grigorenko
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Grigorenko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
3
Vitale
Grigorenko
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
45.3% (1,033)
+10.6%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
56.0% (50)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
58.5% (65)
-11.4%
On power play, Vitale has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Grigorenko is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Vitale
Grigorenko
Home
56.1% (1,050)
51.1% (567)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
42.0% (581)
By Period
Vitale
Grigorenko
P1
52.9%
43.8%
P2
53.8%
47.1%
P3
57.5%
48.7%
OT
72.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |