Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Grigorenko 47.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Grigorenko leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 71.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 69.8%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 54.1%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Vitale
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Vitale
Grigorenko
Last 10: Vitale 4-6 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
3
4
Vitale
Grigorenko
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Grigorenko
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
2
Vitale
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
44.5% (301)
+6.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
63.0% (27)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
66.7% (3)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Grigorenko is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Vitale
Grigorenko
Home
46.9% (371)
52.5% (141)
Away
49.7% (362)
41.6% (190)
By Period
Vitale
Grigorenko
P1
52.9%
45.8%
P2
44.2%
43.0%
P3
47.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 19:22 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |