Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.1%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Koivu 54.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 67.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 71.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 52.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Vitale
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Vitale
Koivu
Last 10: Vitale 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Vitale
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Vitale
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
54.0% (9,465)
+1.9%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
58.6% (2,100)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
48.9% (1,688)
-1.8%
On power play, Vitale has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Vitale
Koivu
Home
56.1% (1,050)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Vitale
Koivu
P1
52.9%
53.5%
P2
53.8%
54.6%
P3
57.5%
54.0%
OT
72.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |