Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Vitale wins 63.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 59.5% vs Thompson 50.8% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 79.6%
Defensive zone
Vitale 67.9%
Neutral zone
Vitale 62.1%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Vitale
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Vitale
Thompson
Last 8: Vitale 6-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
2
Vitale
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
61.7% (274)
52.2% (785)
+9.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
42.9% (14)
+32.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (42)
45.7% (175)
+21.0%
On power play, Vitale has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Vitale shoots right. Thompson is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Vitale
Thompson
Home
69.7% (152)
54.1% (475)
Away
56.0% (168)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Vitale
Thompson
P1
55.9%
50.0%
P2
65.2%
49.5%
P3
66.0%
54.0%
Final 5 min
68.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |