Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 59.5%
Defensive zone
Vitale 87.8%
Neutral zone
Vitale 76.4%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Vitale
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Vitale
Bjugstad
Last 8: Vitale 6-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
48.6% (6,634)
+7.3%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
55.2% (829)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
44.3% (614)
+2.8%
On power play, Vitale has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Vitale shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bjugstad
Home
56.1% (1,050)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Vitale
Bjugstad
P1
52.9%
49.0%
P2
53.8%
49.1%
P3
57.5%
48.4%
OT
72.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |