Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 66.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 58.0% vs Backstrom 51.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 75.3%
Defensive zone
Vitale 88.5%
Neutral zone
Vitale 73.0%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Vitale
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Vitale
Backstrom
Last 5: Vitale 5-0 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (251)
51.2% (654)
+9.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.9% (110)
+49.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
53.9% (76)
+46.1%
On power play, Vitale has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Vitale is 66.2% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Vitale shoots right. Backstrom is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Vitale
Backstrom
Home
62.8% (121)
52.0% (400)
Away
59.6% (136)
50.9% (440)
By Period
Vitale
Backstrom
P1
51.8%
51.6%
P2
57.1%
51.1%
P3
73.3%
50.7%
Final 5 min
65.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |