Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Backstrom 53.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 90.3%
Defensive zone
Vitale 57.7%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 71.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Vitale
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Vitale
Backstrom
Last 6: Vitale 4-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Vitale
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
54.1% (1,314)
-3.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
56.2% (169)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
44.4% (126)
-3.1%
On power play, Backstrom has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Vitale is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Vitale shoots right. Backstrom is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (606).
Home / Away
Vitale
Backstrom
Home
46.9% (371)
57.7% (799)
Away
49.7% (362)
49.5% (810)
By Period
Vitale
Backstrom
P1
52.9%
54.7%
P2
44.2%
51.7%
P3
47.9%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
58.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |