Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 58.0% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 51.1%
Defensive zone
Vitale 53.2%
Neutral zone
Vitale 53.8%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Vitale
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Vitale
Bergeron
Last 6: Vitale 3-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Vitale
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (251)
62.6% (660)
-2.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.8% (97)
+40.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
61.4% (127)
+38.6%
On power play, Vitale has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Vitale is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Vitale shoots right. Bergeron is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bergeron
Home
62.8% (121)
67.0% (443)
Away
59.6% (136)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Vitale
Bergeron
P1
51.8%
63.7%
P2
57.1%
60.0%
P3
73.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
65.5%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |