Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Szczechura on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Szczechura 46.7% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Szczechura 69.3%
Defensive zone
Vitale 73.9%
Neutral zone
Vitale 53.0%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Vitale
Szczechura
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Vitale
Szczechura
Last 7: Vitale 3-4 Szczechura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Szczechura
0
1
Vitale
Szczechura
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Szczechura
1
2
Vitale
Szczechura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Szczechura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Szczechura
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
40.9% (66)
+15.0%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
100.0% (1)
-24.0%
On power play, Szczechura has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Szczechura shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Vitale shoots right. Szczechura is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Vitale
Szczechura
Home
56.1% (1,050)
46.5% (43)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
33.3% (24)
By Period
Vitale
Szczechura
P1
52.9%
54.5%
P2
53.8%
35.0%
P3
57.5%
33.3%
OT
72.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Szczechura
40.0%▼
41.8%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Paul Szczechura |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Paul Szczechura |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Paul Szczechura |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Paul Szczechura |