Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Szczechura on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Szczechura 46.7% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Szczechura 56.6%
Defensive zone
Vitale 68.0%
Neutral zone
Vitale 51.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Vitale
Szczechura
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Vitale
Szczechura
Last 7: Vitale 3-4 Szczechura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Szczechura
0
1
Vitale
Szczechura
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Szczechura
1
2
Vitale
Szczechura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Szczechura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Szczechura
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
40.9% (66)
+15.0%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Vitale has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Szczechura shoots right. Vitale is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Vitale shoots right. Szczechura is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Vitale
Szczechura
Home
56.9% (383)
46.5% (43)
Away
54.4% (340)
33.3% (24)
By Period
Vitale
Szczechura
P1
51.5%
54.5%
P2
58.2%
35.0%
P3
56.8%
33.3%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Szczechura
40.0%▼
41.8%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Paul Szczechura |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Paul Szczechura |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Paul Szczechura |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Paul Szczechura |