Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 48.5% vs Rakell 47.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 61.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 85.2%
Neutral zone
Vitale 56.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Vitale
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Vitale
Rakell
Last 8: Vitale 6-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
1
Vitale
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Rakell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
1
Vitale
Rakell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (539)
46.2% (608)
+4.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
51.9% (54)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (189)
33.3% (3)
+8.0%
On power play, Rakell has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Vitale is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Vitale shoots right. Rakell is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Vitale
Rakell
Home
46.9% (371)
49.3% (335)
Away
49.7% (362)
43.9% (330)
By Period
Vitale
Rakell
P1
52.9%
46.8%
P2
44.2%
45.0%
P3
47.9%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.3%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |