Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Carter 49.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 64.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 87.1%
Neutral zone
Vitale 67.3%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Vitale
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Vitale
Carter
Last 8: Vitale 6-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Vitale
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
0
Vitale
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
50.1% (978)
+5.8%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
60.0% (15)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
46.4% (138)
+0.7%
On power play, Vitale has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Vitale
Carter
Home
56.1% (1,050)
49.0% (506)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Vitale
Carter
P1
52.9%
50.5%
P2
53.8%
48.9%
P3
57.5%
50.0%
OT
72.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |