Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Johnson 60.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 65.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 66.4%
Neutral zone
Vitale 60.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Vitale
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vitale
Johnson
Last 5: Vitale 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vitale
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Vitale
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
63.8% (260)
-7.9%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
50.0% (4)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
63.0% (46)
-15.9%
On power play, Vitale has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Vitale
Johnson
Home
56.1% (1,050)
69.8% (126)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Vitale
Johnson
P1
52.9%
63.0%
P2
53.8%
61.8%
P3
57.5%
66.0%
OT
72.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |