Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Couturier 52.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 50.4%
Defensive zone
Vitale 76.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 61.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Vitale
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Vitale
Couturier
Last 10: Vitale 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
5
0
Vitale
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Vitale
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
6
3
Vitale
Couturier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
52.5% (11,063)
+3.4%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
59.7% (1,280)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
48.5% (1,816)
-1.4%
On power play, Vitale has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Vitale
Couturier
Home
56.1% (1,050)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Vitale
Couturier
P1
52.9%
52.5%
P2
53.8%
52.6%
P3
57.5%
52.9%
OT
72.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |