Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Couturier 47.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Vitale 86.5%
Defensive zone
Vitale 82.3%
Neutral zone
Vitale 77.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Vitale
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Vitale
Couturier
Last 10: Vitale 9-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
5
2
Vitale
Couturier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
47.4% (639)
+8.5%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
54.2% (24)
+45.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
44.0% (134)
+3.5%
On power play, Vitale has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Vitale shoots right. Couturier is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Vitale
Couturier
Home
56.9% (383)
46.9% (446)
Away
54.4% (340)
47.2% (358)
By Period
Vitale
Couturier
P1
51.5%
42.5%
P2
58.2%
47.1%
P3
56.8%
51.6%
OT
80.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |