Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Stapleton 47.3% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 70.1%
Defensive zone
Vitale 95.7%
Neutral zone
Vitale 81.1%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Vitale
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Vitale
Stapleton
Last 6: Vitale 5-1 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Stapleton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
0
Vitale
Stapleton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Stapleton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
45.6% (421)
+10.3%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
72.7% (11)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
50.0% (6)
-2.9%
On even strength, Vitale has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Vitale shoots right. Stapleton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Vitale
Stapleton
Home
56.1% (1,050)
47.3% (222)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
46.1% (219)
By Period
Vitale
Stapleton
P1
52.9%
56.5%
P2
53.8%
42.4%
P3
57.5%
42.3%
OT
72.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |