Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Smith 48.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 70.3%
Defensive zone
Vitale 86.6%
Neutral zone
Vitale 82.2%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Vitale
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Vitale
Smith
Last 8: Vitale 6-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
1
Vitale
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
0
Vitale
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
49.0% (769)
+6.9%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
63.6% (22)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
42.4% (118)
+4.7%
On power play, Vitale has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Smith is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Vitale
Smith
Home
56.1% (1,050)
52.4% (490)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Vitale
Smith
P1
52.9%
46.9%
P2
53.8%
51.2%
P3
57.5%
47.7%
OT
72.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |