Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Vitale wins 63.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 59.5% vs Smith 46.1% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 65.8%
Defensive zone
Vitale 68.9%
Neutral zone
Vitale 70.4%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Vitale
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vitale
Smith
Last 5: Vitale 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
61.7% (274)
44.7% (244)
+17.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (42)
50.0% (8)
+16.7%
On power play, Vitale has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Vitale shoots right. Smith is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Vitale
Smith
Home
69.7% (152)
51.3% (158)
Away
56.0% (168)
34.0% (100)
By Period
Vitale
Smith
P1
55.9%
37.2%
P2
65.2%
53.9%
P3
66.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
68.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |