Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 66.1%
Defensive zone
Vitale 72.3%
Neutral zone
Vitale 52.9%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Vitale
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
12
(26 meetings)
14
12
Vitale
Bozak
Last 10: Vitale 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
9
Vitale
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
10
2
Vitale
Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
4
1
Vitale
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
53.7% (9,596)
+2.2%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
55.2% (1,990)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
48.0% (1,094)
-0.9%
On power play, Vitale has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Vitale is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (668).
Vitale shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Vitale
Bozak
Home
56.1% (1,050)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Vitale
Bozak
P1
52.9%
53.2%
P2
53.8%
52.8%
P3
57.5%
54.5%
OT
72.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:00 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |