Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joel Eriksson Ek

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 58.9% vs Ek 48.8% (+11.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pageau 74.6%
Defensive zone Pageau 94.0%
Neutral zone Pageau 91.2%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Pageau Ek
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 2 (9 meetings)
7
2
Pageau Ek
Last 9: Pageau 7-2 Ek

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Pageau Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau Ek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau Ek
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (676)
47.2% (815)
+12.3%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
53.8% (266)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
47.8% (180)
+12.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +13.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Ek shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Pageau shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Pageau
Ek
Home
58.2% (364)
49.9% (693)
Away
61.0% (559)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Pageau
Ek
P1
54.4%
46.2%
P2
62.3%
52.6%
P3
62.0%
46.5%
OT
75.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
63.2%
44.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
58.0%
59.5%
59.9%
Ek
52.0%
46.0%
48.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 7, 2025 3 11:51 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 7, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 2 12:00 Defensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 7, 2025 2 05:28 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 1 18:13 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 1 15:25 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 1 11:08 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau