Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nick Bjugstad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.8%). Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 75.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 50.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 57.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Ek
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ek
Bjugstad
Last 5: Ek 4-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Ek
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
3
0
Ek
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
48.9% (280)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
50.0% (6)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
47.2% (36)
+0.6%
On power play, Ek has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Ek shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Ek
Bjugstad
Home
49.9% (693)
48.4% (190)
Away
47.2% (568)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Ek
Bjugstad
P1
46.2%
41.7%
P2
52.6%
56.6%
P3
46.5%
48.7%
OT
54.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |