Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Poehling 47.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 75.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Ek
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Ek
Poehling
Last 9: Ek 5-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
4
0
Ek
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
3
Ek
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
49.8% (626)
-2.6%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
58.3% (12)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
38.2% (207)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Ek
Poehling
Home
49.9% (693)
47.3% (404)
Away
47.2% (568)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Ek
Poehling
P1
46.2%
53.5%
P2
52.6%
39.4%
P3
46.5%
49.1%
OT
54.9%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |